Discussion: Is Technology Predictable?

Read this week’s Peter Drucker article (attached to the question) and use it to help see if Technology is Predictable? If it is, why are JcPenny and Sears not Amazon? Why is Blockbuster not Netflix? How does it change investment decision rules? 
Task Requirement:
Write a 300- to 500-word description in which you discuss and answer the above questions 

Cite and use APA format if you use outside sources. 
Describe how this discussion will change your thought process of how you will view business in the future.
Leave a question for peers in your answer.